Science EarthquakesGlobal TempHurricanesMeaslesNatural DisastersPandemicsSpaceWeather Market of the Day Measles cases in U.S. by June 30? $2.9k Volume ↑ 29% today View Market 2150 73% Yes No 2200 15% Yes No 2300 4% Yes No +1 more 73% Leading 2150 73% 2200 15% 2300 4% +1 more Read Article Sort by 24hr Volume Volume Newest Ending Soon SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 August 31 84% Yes No Super Heavy booster explodes? 76% Yes No Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by… December 31 74% Yes No October 31 63% Yes No July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) 1.20–1.24ºC 44% Yes No 1.10–1.14ºC 43% Yes No Moving Now How many Tornadoes in the US in July? 100–129 36% Yes No <100 26% Yes No Moving Now How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 8 – June 14? Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 – 14? 68% Yes No 1 25% Yes No How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 8 – June 14? >9 99% Yes No 9 0% Yes No How far ahead of Google’s quantum benchmark will ECDSA.fail get by June 30? 40%+ 100% Yes No 50%+ 84% Yes No Moving Now FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr? 60% chance Yes No FDA approves Merck's Welireg + Keytruda or Keytruda Qlex? 86% chance Yes No FDA approves Arcalyst technology transfer? 71% chance Yes No FDA approves Arcutis' Zoryve cream? 89% chance Yes No Moving Now FDA approves Unicycive's Oxylanthanum carbonate? 73% chance Yes No FDA approves Ionis' Olezarsen? 91% chance Yes No FDA approves Viridian Therapeutics' Veligrotug? 69% chance Yes No How many SpaceX launches in June 2026? 14+ 57% Yes No 13 30% Yes No Precipitation in Seoul in June? 120-130mm 38% Yes No 130-140mm 27% Yes No Precipitation in Seattle in June? 1-1.5" 33% Yes No >3" 27% Yes No Precipitation in London in June? 50-60mm 27% Yes No 60-70mm 27% Yes No How many Tornadoes in the US in June? 160–189 42% Yes No 100–129 41% Yes No Moving Now Measles cases in U.S. by June 30? 2150 73% Yes No 2200 15% Yes No Moving Now June 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) 1.15–1.19ºC 48% Yes No 1.10–1.14ºC 40% Yes No 2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record? 2nd hottest 90% Yes No 1st hottest 5% Yes No Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31? 32% chance Yes No Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? 5% chance Yes No How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026? 1250+ 84% Yes No 1200–1249 14% Yes No Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? 83% chance Yes No Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? SpaceX 79% Yes No Anthropic 18% Yes No Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? 1% chance Yes No CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31? 24% chance Yes No SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company? 0% chance Yes No Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? 11% chance Yes No Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? 10% chance Yes No 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? 3% chance Yes No Previous 1 2 3 4 Next Loading… Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on
