Politics CongressCourtsEpsteinGazaGlobal ElectionsGovernment ShutdownsIsraelMidtermsNYC MayorPrimariesSenateTrumpUkraineUS ElectionVenezuela Market of the Day CA-27 House Election Winner $0 Volume ↓ 41% today View Market Buy Yes · 92¢ Buy No · 8¢ 92% Yes chance Yes 92% No 8% Read Article Sort by 24hr Volume Volume Newest Ending Soon Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal? Abbas Araghchi 55% Yes No Donald Trump 51% Yes No US announces location or date of US x Iran deal signing by…? June 15 39% Yes No June 14 29% Yes No US and Iran sign an agreement by…? June 30 64% Yes No July 31 63% Yes No What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (June 15) Right 95% Yes No Understand 93% Yes No What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (June 17) Hormuz 75% Yes No AI 5+ times 71% Yes No Moving Now Elon Musk # tweets June 13 – June 15, 2026? 40-64 43% Yes No 65-89 40% Yes No Moving Now Another critical Cloudflare incident by…? August 31 73% Yes No July 31 58% Yes No How many World Cup matches will Trump attend? 1 56% Yes No 2 30% Yes No UT-02 Republican Primary Winner Blake Moore 54% Yes No Karianne Lisonbee 43% Yes No Moving Now MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner Glenn Ivey 95% Yes No Shavonne Hedgepeth 33% Yes No MD-03 Democratic Primary Winner Sarah Elfreth 94% Yes No Robert Morrison 25% Yes No What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? Thank 5+ times 91% Yes No Defense 88% Yes No Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? Anthony Albanese 54% Yes No Angus Taylor 36% Yes No Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30? 33% chance Yes No Moving Now Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30? 27% chance Yes No How many senators will vote for Todd Blanche as Attorney General? No vote by Dec 31/Withdrawn 45% Yes No 56 42% Yes No Moving Now Pará Governor Election Winner Hana Ghassan 41% Yes No Dr. Daniel Santos 38% Yes No Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner Jorginho Mello 82% Yes No Marcelo Brigadeiro 9% Yes No Paraná Governor Election Winner Sergio Moro 79% Yes No Rafael Greca 9% Yes No Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner Chico Machado 27% Yes No André Ceciliano 24% Yes No Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? 18% chance Yes No Next Mayor of Johannesburg? Helen Zille 38% Yes No Loyiso Masuku 19% Yes No 2026 Aberdeen South By-Election Winner Richard Gordon Thomson 71% Yes No Douglas Lumsden 28% Yes No 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry By-Election Winner Lara Bird 83% Yes No Heather Doran 10% Yes No Elon Musk # tweets in June 2026? 920-959 16% Yes No 880-919 13% Yes No Will Zohran Mamdani stream on Twitch again by June 12? 21% chance Yes No Elon Musk # tweets June 12 – June 19, 2026? 200-219 18% Yes No 180-199 17% Yes No Moving Now Ted Cruz # posts June 12 – June 19, 2026? 120-139 32% Yes No 160-179 31% Yes No Moving Now CZ # posts June 12 – June 19, 2026? <20 83% Yes No 20-39 14% Yes No Donald Trump # Truth Social posts June 12 – June 19, 2026? 160-179 39% Yes No 80-99 34% Yes No Moving Now White House # posts June 12 – June 19, 2026? 180-199 37% Yes No 200+ 35% Yes No Moving Now Zelenskyy # posts June 12 – June 19, 2026? 60-79 51% Yes No 40-59 33% Yes No Khamenei # posts June 12 – June 19, 2026? <5 82% Yes No 25-29 43% Yes No Previous 1 2 3 4 5 … 55 Next Loading… Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on