Politics PrimariesGlobal ElectionsTrumpIsraelVenezuelaUkraineMidtermsEpsteinCourtsCongressGazaNYC MayorGovernment ShutdownsSenateUS Election Market of the Day Fed Decision in July? $7.4m Volume ↓ 9.7% today View Market Watch No change 73% Yes No 25 bps increase 27% Yes No 50+ bps increase 1% Yes No +2 more 73% Leading No change 73% 25 bps in… 27% 50+ bps i… 1% +2 more Read Article Sort by 24hr Volume Volume Newest Ending Soon Status All Unresolved Resolved Elon Musk # tweets July 27 – July 29, 2026? 65-89 41% Yes No 40-64 40% Yes No Read Article Moving Now What will Trump say during remarks in Michigan? China / Chinese 100% Yes No Transgender 100% Yes No Read Article Will Netanyahu visit New York City by…? December 31 88% Yes No September 30 84% Yes No Read Article 2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner BN 71% Yes No PH 28% Yes No Read Article Moving Now Elon Musk # tweets July 24 – July 31, 2026? 240-259 22% Yes No 220-239 22% Yes No Read Article What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference? Balance Sheet 85% Yes No Central Bank 85% Yes No Read Article Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by…? August 31 4% Yes No July 31 1% Yes No Read Article Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? 10% chance Yes No Read Article Moving Now Andrew Tate released from custody by…? December 31 26% Yes No July 31 1% Yes No Read Article Moving Now Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 21 – July 28, 2026? 160-179 48% Yes No 140-159 29% Yes No Read Article Moving Now Elon Musk # tweets July 21 – July 28, 2026? 280-299 61% Yes No 300-319 21% Yes No Read Article Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by…? August 31 100% Yes No July 31 99% Yes No Read Article Moving Now Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd Place Auyl 63% Yes No Respublica 21% Yes No Read Article Moving Now US announces end of Iranian blockade by…? December 31 80% Yes No October 31 71% Yes No Read Article US charges Hormuz fees by…? December 31 10% Yes No August 31 2% Yes No 🔒 1 whale wallet active on this market · real-time Create an Account → Read Article South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner Darline Graham Nordone 74% Yes No Ralph Norman 21% Yes No Read Article Moving Now Clacton by-election: Margin of Victory Farage 60%+ 48% Yes No Farage 40-60% 35% Yes No Read Article Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal? No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026 46% Yes No December 13% Yes No Read Article Moving Now US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by…? August 31 45% Yes No July 31 9% Yes No Read Article Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote % Binface 10–20% 48% Yes No Binface <10% 25% Yes No Read Article Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote % Farage 60–70% 36% Yes No Farage 70–80% 30% Yes No Read Article Clacton by-election: 2nd place Count Binface 79% Yes No William Clouston 9% Yes No Read Article Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? 23% chance Yes No Read Article Clacton by-election Winner Nigel Farage 96% Yes No Count Binface 4% Yes No 🔒 2 whale wallets active on this market · real-time Create an Account → Read Article Graham Platner charged by August 31? 4% chance Yes No Read Article Graham Platner divorce by October 31? 11% chance Yes No Read Article CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual) Mike Thompson 87% Yes No Eric Jones 9% Yes No Read Article CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual) Mai Vang 56% Yes No Doris Matsui 40% Yes No Read Article AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections? 2 72% Yes No 3 19% Yes No Read Article Who will Mallory McMorrow endorse in the Michigan Senate Primary? Haley Stevens 28% Yes No Abdul El-Sayed 19% Yes No Read Article M0-02 Republican Primary Winner Ann Wagner 99% Yes No Brandon Wilkinson 0% Yes No Read Article Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory El-Sayed <5% 28% Yes No Stevens <5% 25% Yes No Read Article WA-03 Primary First Place John Braun 86% Yes No Marie Gluesenkamp Perez 8% Yes No Read Article Previous 1 2 3 4 5 … 61 Next Loading… Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes Description Resolution Rules View on