PoliticsCongressCourtsEpsteinGazaGlobal ElectionsGovernment ShutdownsIsraelMidtermsNYC MayorPrimariesSenateTrumpUkraineUS ElectionVenezuela Market of the Day Will Vox get a cabinet seat in the next Andalusian government? $190 Volume ↑ 47.7% today View Market Watch Buy Yes · 94¢ Buy No · 6¢ 94% Yes chance Yes 94% No 6% Read Article Sort by 24hr VolumeVolumeNewestEnding Soon Elon Musk # tweets July 4 – July 6, 2026? 40-64 55% Yes No 65-89 26% Yes No Dario Amodei arrested by December 31? 2% chance Yes NoMoving Now California Tax Spend Audit Proposition 55% chance Yes No California Homebuying Loan Program Proposition 31% chance Yes NoMoving Now California Clinic Funding Proposition 43% chance Yes NoMoving Now California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition 78% chance Yes NoMoving Now California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition 70% chance Yes NoMoving Now California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition 55% chance Yes NoMoving Now California Immunology Research Bond Proposition 34% chance Yes NoMoving Now USMCA extended in 2026? 22% chance Yes NoMoving Now Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round? Carol Hafner 45% Yes No Gerald L. Heikes 45% Yes NoMoving Now AZ-02 Democratic Primary Winner Jonathan Nez 98% Yes No Eric Descheenie 2% Yes No Next Prime Minister of Serbia? Ana Brnabić 45% Yes No Ivica Dačić 43% Yes No 2026 Johor General Election Winner BN 96% Yes No PH 2% Yes NoMoving Now Colorado Governor Republican Primary Margin of Victory Marx <1% 70% Yes No Kirkmeyer 4%+ 36% Yes NoMoving Now Will Trump publicly insult someone on…? July 2 100% Yes No July 1 97% Yes No Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro) Netanyahu – Israel PM 17% Yes No Lecornu – France PM 10% Yes No What will Trump say during the Tribute to America Rally on July 4th? Military 89% Yes No Hottest 80% Yes No What will Trump do on the 4th of July? Insult Someone 95% Yes No Hug Someone 72% Yes No Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by…? July 31 84% Yes No July 17 38% Yes NoMoving Now CO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory Kiros 10–15% 94% Yes No Kiros 15–20% 5% Yes No Elon Musk # tweets July 3 – July 10, 2026? 200-219 21% Yes No 220-239 19% Yes No CZ # posts July 3 – July 10, 2026? <20 69% Yes No 20-39 31% Yes NoMoving Now Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 3 – July 10, 2026? 100-119 32% Yes No 140-159 27% Yes NoMoving Now Ted Cruz # posts July 3 – July 10, 2026? 60-79 43% Yes No 120-139 40% Yes No NYC Mayor # posts July 3 – July 10, 2026? 60-79 43% Yes No 40-59 27% Yes NoMoving Now White House # posts July 3 – July 10, 2026? 200+ 90% Yes No 180-199 9% Yes No Khamenei # posts July 3 – July 10, 2026? <5 70% Yes No 35-39 16% Yes No Zelenskyy # posts July 3 – July 10, 2026? 60-79 32% Yes No 40-59 30% Yes No Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? 3% chance Yes NoMoving Now Next Serbia Presidential Election Winner Vladan Đokić 36% Yes No Ana Brnabić 18% Yes No Closest Governor's Race? Kansas 45% Yes No Ohio 45% Yes No What will Trump say in July? Genius 100% Yes No Muscle 100% Yes No Previous 1 2 3 4 5 … 59 Next Loading… Volume Liquidity Ends Outcomes DescriptionResolution Rules View on
