Crowncoin

Politics

Moving Now

Elon Musk # tweets July 25 – July 27, 2026?

40-64 44%
Yes No
<40 27%
Yes No
$141k Vol.
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Will Netanyahu visit New York City by…?

December 31 87%
Yes No
September 30 83%
Yes No
$167k Vol.
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Elon Musk # tweets July 24 – July 31, 2026?

220-239 16%
Yes No
240-259 15%
Yes No
$645k Vol.
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What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?

Balance Sheet 85%
Yes No
Central Bank 82%
Yes No
$60k Vol.
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Elon Musk # tweets July 23 – July 25, 2026?

90-114 100%
Yes No
115-139 0%
Yes No
$1.2m Vol.
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Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by…?

August 31 6%
Yes No
July 31 1%
Yes No
$89k Vol.
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Andrew Tate released from custody by…?

December 31 18%
Yes No
July 31 2%
Yes No
$106k Vol.
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Elon Musk # tweets July 21 – July 28, 2026?

280-299 25%
Yes No
260-279 25%
Yes No
$2m Vol.
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Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by…?

August 31 97%
Yes No
July 31 96%
Yes No
$833k Vol.
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Moving Now

US announces end of Iranian blockade by…?

August 31 60%
Yes No
August 15 41%
Yes No
$1m Vol.
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US charges Hormuz fees by…?

December 31 9%
Yes No
August 31 3%
Yes No
1 whale wallet active on this market · real-time
$851k Vol.
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South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner

Darline Graham Nordone 70%
Yes No
Ralph Norman 21%
Yes No
$391k Vol.
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Clacton by-election: Margin of Victory

Farage 60%+ 36%
Yes No
Farage 40-60% 35%
Yes No
$62k Vol.
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Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026 48%
Yes No
December 20%
Yes No
$133k Vol.
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Moving Now

US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by…?

August 31 35%
Yes No
July 31 11%
Yes No
$70k Vol.
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Moving Now

Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %

Binface 10–20% 47%
Yes No
Binface <10% 25%
Yes No
$140k Vol.
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Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %

Farage 60–70% 36%
Yes No
Farage 70–80% 27%
Yes No
$84k Vol.
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Clacton by-election: 2nd place

Count Binface 75%
Yes No
William Clouston 10%
Yes No
$242k Vol.
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Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?

25% chance
Yes No
$23k Vol.
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Clacton by-election Winner

Nigel Farage 96%
Yes No
Count Binface 4%
Yes No
2 whale wallets active on this market · real-time
$2.8m Vol.
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Graham Platner charged by August 31?

4% chance
Yes No
$3k Vol.
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Graham Platner divorce by October 31?

11% chance
Yes No
$7k Vol.
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CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)

Mike Thompson 87%
Yes No
Eric Jones 9%
Yes No
$3k Vol.
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CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)

Mai Vang 55%
Yes No
Doris Matsui 40%
Yes No
$7k Vol.
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AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?

2 81%
Yes No
3 13%
Yes No
$25k Vol.
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Who will Mallory McMorrow endorse in the Michigan Senate Primary?

Haley Stevens 29%
Yes No
Abdul El-Sayed 19%
Yes No
$6k Vol.
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M0-02 Republican Primary Winner

Ann Wagner 99%
Yes No
Peter Pfeifer 0%
Yes No
$7k Vol.
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Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

El-Sayed 5–10% 28%
Yes No
El-Sayed <5% 28%
Yes No
$20k Vol.
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WA-03 Primary First Place

John Braun 88%
Yes No
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez 5%
Yes No
$14k Vol.
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VA-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Shannon Taylor 99%
Yes No
Salaam Bhatti 1%
Yes No
$14k Vol.
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Next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?

No HR in 2026 58%
Yes No
William Ruger 12%
Yes No
$16k Vol.
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Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory

Bev Craig 15%+ 79%
Yes No
Bev Craig 10–15% 17%
Yes No
$10k Vol.
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